Bernie Sanders for President 2016 SC Aftermath Talking Points
(Feb. 25, 2016 14:15 pm) Long time social democrat, Bernie supporter, organizers with the grassroots campaign on Slack, Reddit, etc., takes a moment to explain that things are better than they may appear. Stressing supporters need to volunteer all over.
See Text of Post Below:
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Bernie Sanders For President 2016
(Feb. 25, 2016 14:15) — Hello everyone! New admin here, long time social democrat, Bernie supporter, organizer with the grassroots campaign on Slack, Reddit, etc. Please take a moment to read my post on the status of the campaign; things are better than they may appear but we need volunteers all over! Even if you can make some phone calls from home, every ounce of effort counts!
Lets clear the air:
I have seen way too many posts and articles foolishly suggesting a NV or SC loss is “nearing the end” or people gaslighting and “offering thanks” to Bernie and his supporters but remember this primary doesnt end till June! Bernie already showed the world he was electable with a virtual tie in Iowa and a record-setting landslide in the first primary state. The loss in Nevada was 15-20 points smaller than the last poll in that state and South Carolina polls show she will not win by the margins projected even a few weeks ago. The race is on!
Worried? Phonebank! Bernie is on a path to vtctory!
http://berniesanders.com/phonebank
The folks who write these articles are likely doing so in support of Clinton, not the facts. Individuals who post statements to this effect are either reading these stories and mistakenly repeating erroneous information or just weren’t around in 2008 when Obama ran against the ‘inevitable’ Clinton and won.
(hint: Bernie is still doing better than Obama – see The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/14/hillary-clintons-national-lead-is-slipping-faster-in-2016-than-it-did-in-2008/)
Please make sure you have this information in case someone tries to convince you its over! Be polite – if Bernie wouldnt say it, you shouldnt say it – ultimately the truth will win out:
1. The big scare – Superdelegates – do not vote until June and comprise only 15% of the total delegates. They switched from Hillary to Obama in 08 proportional to Obama’s numbers and it will happen again if Bernie wins the majority of the elections as Obama did. There have already been defectors. Truthfully, the DNC knows they will lose more than the White House if they try to go against the will of the voters. Sure, some will stay with Clinton till the bitter end but ultimately we can expect the primaries and caucuses to determine the winner.
See Bloomberg:
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-08-28/clinton-s-superdelegate-tipping-point
“In the event, the “supers” have never tilted the nomination; they always line up with the candidate who won the most delegates in the caucuses and primaries. That’s essentially what happened in 2008: Clinton had an early lead in superdelegates, but as Barack Obama started winning caucuses and primaries, he wound up picking up almost all the undecided supers and even some defectors from Clinton.”
See CNN:
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/10/dems.wrap/
“Obama closed to within one superdelegate of Clinton, picking up the support of four party leaders after a flurry of new endorsements over the past two days. Clinton, meanwhile, picked up the votes of two superdelegates but lost one to Obama.”
2. Did you know that in 2008 Hillary won lots of huge states? California, Texas, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona, New Jersey, and Massachusetts among others. Remember, Obama, like Bernie, got delegates in every state he lost. This is not a winner-take-all event, its nothing like the electoral college, state “wins” are symbolic as compared to the delegates assigned. Bernie and Hillary are still TIED in pledged delegates – the delegates we vote for. We are neck and neck with the Clinton Dynasty! WOW!!!!
See Wikipedia – 2008 was a very long road for Obama!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008
3. Oh the polls….did you know Hillary lead the polls nationally for a few months after New Hampshire in 2008? Bernie seems to be closing the gap faster than Obama did, but dont ever let these polls get you down! Phonebank! Knock on doors! Help us help Bernie at http://berniesanders.com/phonebank! You can do it from home.
See Washington Post:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/14/hillary-clintons-national-lead-is-slipping-faster-in-2016-than-it-did-in-2008/
4. Ok, so, polls….Nate Silver says if Bernie keeps national polling above 50-50, Bernie will win 30 states!
The last Reuters and fox polls have Bernie leading – NBC shows 11 points for Clinton but put in the perspective of the trend over the last 500 polls she has plummeted from 50,60 point margins just months ago. Bernie stays even or better and he clinches the nomination in May or so…
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bernie-sanderss-path-to-the-nomination/
Remember the Nate Silver 538 product takes poll averages and then forecasts based on other things – Silver’s weighted averages and forecasts take favorability ratings into account and Bernie leads all candidates:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/1/18/1471588/-Nate-Bernie-Sanders-is-the-only-candidate-in-either-party-with-a-net-positive-favorability-rating
5. The “electability” dialogue has been flipped! The nation now understands that if Hillary not only has her usual baggage but that an increasing number of Democrats will write Bernie in or support an independent run should he lose. We also know that INDEPENDENTS are the LARGEST voting bloc of 2016, hands down. They are kingmaker this cycle, no doubt about that. Believe it or not, Trump has helped Bernie frame the argument that the political parties are corrupt, beholden to others, and not subjecting themselves to the will of the voters as they probably should. If we dont nominate Bernie the independents will go with Trump over the establishment 2:1. This number is an estimate;
See Glen Greenwald:
https://theintercept.com/2016/02/24/with-trump-looming-should-dems-take-a-huge-electability-gamble-by-nominating-hillary-clinton/
Another very well sourced article:
http://static.currentaffairs.org/2016/02/unless-the-democrats-nominate-sanders-a-trump-nomination-means-a-trump-presidency
6. Endorsements – Dont let these get you down. Hillary Clinton has been getting endorsements for years, decades now. Please remember not all endorsements were created equal – some come from the will of the workers, others from the will of their execs. She had plenty of the same endorsements in 2008 as well….
https://theintercept.com/2016/01/22/bernie-sanders-gets-group-endorsements-when-members-decide-hillary-clinton-when-leaders-decide/
Please make no mistakes about this – we need people beating the streets every day to topple the Clinton machine but we are on track!
It took time for voters to meet and grow to love Barack Hussein Obama, and Bernie the Democratic Socialist is making his case to the people. One thing I have noticed over the past few months is that not only are his numbers rising, but he never seems to lose support once he has it. When people get to know Bernie, they love him, they stay with him. This trend should be easily visible to anyone watching.
Bernie’s support in the digital world is second to none. The phone banking software and the team leading the outreach includes some of the people who helped Obama’s camp introduce him to voters and the numbers we have racked up are already well beyond some of the figures reached in 2008. Bernie has the best digital team in politics right now. Besides the grassroots deluge of Reddit, Tublr, Twitter and Facebook users supporting him, the apps and tools the Sanders campaign is using are by far the most comprehensive; any of his supporters can directly connect with the campaign, donate time to make phone calls from their homes, canvas with GPS enabled mobile apps, organize events and get notifications to followers in all 50 states at a moment’s notice to help draw the massive crowds we have seen at Bernie’s events. The revolution is just beginning – never give up!
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/bernie-sanders-army-of-coders-2016-213647
http://www.bernkit.com/#f=All
