Where Sanders could win, and other things to watch for on Super Tuesday

20160227_0800 Where Sanders could win Super Tuesday (WP).jpg Where Sanders could win, and other things to watch for on Super Tuesday
By Ted Mellnik, John Muyskens and Samuel Granados, Washington Post

(Feb. 27, 2016) — Super Tuesday is Hillary Clinton’s chance for an armload of victories that would give her full claim to front-runner status in the Democratic primary race. But Bernie Sanders could spoil it with big wins somewhere outside his native Northeast. Here’s how the Super Tuesday states break down.

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The Talking Points: Sanders Campaign ‘Needs to Know’ Moving Forward

20160225_1415 Lets Clear the Air Talking Points Moving Forward  (BSFP2016).jpg Bernie Sanders for President 2016 SC Aftermath Talking Points

(Feb. 25, 2016 14:15 pm) Long time social democrat, Bernie supporter, organizers with the grassroots campaign on Slack, Reddit, etc., takes a moment to explain that things are better than they may appear. Stressing supporters need to volunteer all over.

See Text of Post Below:

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Bernie Sanders For President 2016

(Feb. 25, 2016 14:15) — Hello everyone! New admin here, long time social democrat, Bernie supporter, organizer with the grassroots campaign on Slack, Reddit, etc. Please take a moment to read my post on the status of the campaign; things are better than they may appear but we need volunteers all over! Even if you can make some phone calls from home, every ounce of effort counts!

Lets clear the air:

I have seen way too many posts and articles foolishly suggesting a NV or SC loss is “nearing the end” or people gaslighting and “offering thanks” to Bernie and his supporters but remember this primary doesnt end till June! Bernie already showed the world he was electable with a virtual tie in Iowa and a record-setting landslide in the first primary state. The loss in Nevada was 15-20 points smaller than the last poll in that state and South Carolina polls show she will not win by the margins projected even a few weeks ago. The race is on!

Worried? Phonebank! Bernie is on a path to vtctory!
http://berniesanders.com/phonebank

The folks who write these articles are likely doing so in support of Clinton, not the facts. Individuals who post statements to this effect are either reading these stories and mistakenly repeating erroneous information or just weren’t around in 2008 when Obama ran against the ‘inevitable’ Clinton and won.
(hint: Bernie is still doing better than Obama – see The Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/14/hillary-clintons-national-lead-is-slipping-faster-in-2016-than-it-did-in-2008/)

Please make sure you have this information in case someone tries to convince you its over! Be polite – if Bernie wouldnt say it, you shouldnt say it – ultimately the truth will win out:

1. The big scare – Superdelegates – do not vote until June and comprise only 15% of the total delegates. They switched from Hillary to Obama in 08 proportional to Obama’s numbers and it will happen again if Bernie wins the majority of the elections as Obama did. There have already been defectors. Truthfully, the DNC knows they will lose more than the White House if they try to go against the will of the voters. Sure, some will stay with Clinton till the bitter end but ultimately we can expect the primaries and caucuses to determine the winner.
See Bloomberg:
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-08-28/clinton-s-superdelegate-tipping-point
“In the event, the “supers” have never tilted the nomination; they always line up with the candidate who won the most delegates in the caucuses and primaries. That’s essentially what happened in 2008: Clinton had an early lead in superdelegates, but as Barack Obama started winning caucuses and primaries, he wound up picking up almost all the undecided supers and even some defectors from Clinton.”
See CNN:
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/05/10/dems.wrap/
“Obama closed to within one superdelegate of Clinton, picking up the support of four party leaders after a flurry of new endorsements over the past two days. Clinton, meanwhile, picked up the votes of two superdelegates but lost one to Obama.”

2. Did you know that in 2008 Hillary won lots of huge states? California, Texas, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona, New Jersey, and Massachusetts among others. Remember, Obama, like Bernie, got delegates in every state he lost. This is not a winner-take-all event, its nothing like the electoral college, state “wins” are symbolic as compared to the delegates assigned. Bernie and Hillary are still TIED in pledged delegates – the delegates we vote for. We are neck and neck with the Clinton Dynasty! WOW!!!!
See Wikipedia – 2008 was a very long road for Obama!
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2008

3. Oh the polls….did you know Hillary lead the polls nationally for a few months after New Hampshire in 2008? Bernie seems to be closing the gap faster than Obama did, but dont ever let these polls get you down! Phonebank! Knock on doors! Help us help Bernie at http://berniesanders.com/phonebank! You can do it from home.
See Washington Post:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/14/hillary-clintons-national-lead-is-slipping-faster-in-2016-than-it-did-in-2008/

4. Ok, so, polls….Nate Silver says if Bernie keeps national polling above 50-50, Bernie will win 30 states!
The last Reuters and fox polls have Bernie leading – NBC shows 11 points for Clinton but put in the perspective of the trend over the last 500 polls she has plummeted from 50,60 point margins just months ago. Bernie stays even or better and he clinches the nomination in May or so…
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bernie-sanderss-path-to-the-nomination/

Remember the Nate Silver 538 product takes poll averages and then forecasts based on other things – Silver’s weighted averages and forecasts take favorability ratings into account and Bernie leads all candidates:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/1/18/1471588/-Nate-Bernie-Sanders-is-the-only-candidate-in-either-party-with-a-net-positive-favorability-rating

5. The “electability” dialogue has been flipped! The nation now understands that if Hillary not only has her usual baggage but that an increasing number of Democrats will write Bernie in or support an independent run should he lose. We also know that INDEPENDENTS are the LARGEST voting bloc of 2016, hands down. They are kingmaker this cycle, no doubt about that. Believe it or not, Trump has helped Bernie frame the argument that the political parties are corrupt, beholden to others, and not subjecting themselves to the will of the voters as they probably should. If we dont nominate Bernie the independents will go with Trump over the establishment 2:1. This number is an estimate;
See Glen Greenwald:
https://theintercept.com/2016/02/24/with-trump-looming-should-dems-take-a-huge-electability-gamble-by-nominating-hillary-clinton/
Another very well sourced article:
http://static.currentaffairs.org/2016/02/unless-the-democrats-nominate-sanders-a-trump-nomination-means-a-trump-presidency

6. Endorsements – Dont let these get you down. Hillary Clinton has been getting endorsements for years, decades now. Please remember not all endorsements were created equal – some come from the will of the workers, others from the will of their execs. She had plenty of the same endorsements in 2008 as well….
https://theintercept.com/2016/01/22/bernie-sanders-gets-group-endorsements-when-members-decide-hillary-clinton-when-leaders-decide/

Please make no mistakes about this – we need people beating the streets every day to topple the Clinton machine but we are on track!

It took time for voters to meet and grow to love Barack Hussein Obama, and Bernie the Democratic Socialist is making his case to the people. One thing I have noticed over the past few months is that not only are his numbers rising, but he never seems to lose support once he has it. When people get to know Bernie, they love him, they stay with him. This trend should be easily visible to anyone watching.

Bernie’s support in the digital world is second to none. The phone banking software and the team leading the outreach includes some of the people who helped Obama’s camp introduce him to voters and the numbers we have racked up are already well beyond some of the figures reached in 2008. Bernie has the best digital team in politics right now. Besides the grassroots deluge of Reddit, Tublr, Twitter and Facebook users supporting him, the apps and tools the Sanders campaign is using are by far the most comprehensive; any of his supporters can directly connect with the campaign, donate time to make phone calls from their homes, canvas with GPS enabled mobile apps, organize events and get notifications to followers in all 50 states at a moment’s notice to help draw the massive crowds we have seen at Bernie’s events. The revolution is just beginning – never give up!
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/02/bernie-sanders-army-of-coders-2016-213647
http://www.bernkit.com/#f=All

TranscriptGate: Hillary Clinton’s Lack of Leadership Defers Transcript Release

20160223_2228 Hillary Clinton Now Says She’ll Only Release Big-Bank Speeches (Intercept).jpg Hillary Clinton Now Says She’ll Only Release Big-Bank Speeches if the Republicans Do

By Zaid Jilani, The Intercept

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton again refused to release transcripts of her paid speeches to big banks, telling a CNN town hall audience Tuesday night that she will only release her transcripts if her Republican opponents release theirs.

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Spike Lee Endorses Bernie Sanders

20160223_1118 Spike Lee in Radio Ad Endorses Bernie Sanders ((NYT).jpg Senator Bernie Sanders has a fellow son of Brooklyn making new radio ads on his behalf: Spike Lee.
By Yamiche Alcindor, The New York Times

(Feb. 23, 2016 11:18 am) — “Wake up. Wake up, South Carolina!” Mr. Lee begins – nodding to the opening of his 1989 film “Do the Right Thing” – in a 60-second commercial released on Tuesday in the state, where the Democratic presidential primary is on Saturday. https://publicskeleton.com/media/?p=468

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Unleashing the BERN! Informing the Uninformed

Unleashing the BERN! – Informing the Uninformed

(Feb. 22, 2016 11:22 ET) It was an nice cool dry Friday evening in a little busy part of the place they call downtown here in my neck of the woods in Florida. I had decided to roam around the sidewalks watching people make the best of their weekend night zipping around with family and friends in and out of coffee shops and restaurants. Some would even take the weight off their feet by sitting in a small park area with benches to take in the a wall size mural on the side of one of the buildings there.

This was where I decided to take some night pictures at, in this little sectioned off pubic area on the block’s corner call Pioneer Park.

Street photography is one of the more challenging kinds of photography. It places one at odds with the social temperaments of the area, and you will most likely have to socialize at every location you stop and try compose your next shot. I’m not talking about passing by taking a quick iPhone snapshot. The night photography I do, and for this night would involve locating interesting parts of the area, setting up a tripod, and taking slow-shutter, long 30 second exposures.

This setup, along with a big professional camera, lens and the look like you know what your doing creates lots of curiosity passer buyers to stop and inquire what is going on. You will at least get the looks and be prepared to deal with making a public spectacle of yourself on the streets. If you’ve done this for a while, it still takes a little getting used to.

Public street photography then opens up the opportunity to talk and meet with people.

So, if prepared, it is also a good opportunity to do some soft grass roots campaigning for Bernie Sanders. So I decided I would have an agenda, when responding to those bold enough to engage me while doing street photography.

One particular area I had in mind, and which fits into a larger project in my area, is this small public park with benches that has a large mural painted on the side of one of the adjacent buildings next to it.

After setting up and starting to take pictures of the scene, I noticed this guy sitting on one of the benches in the park. he was a black guy, clean face, casually dressed perhaps in his mid-thirties. He appeared to me to be sitting there with an agenda. Perhaps to hustle people for something.

It wasn’t long after I started shooting did this guy make his move to ask me, “hey do you have any money I could use to get a hot meal?”

Being prepared for him to make his move, I quickly dismissed his initial question with a, “No, I’m just here.” Or something along those lines. I then quickly seized the opportunity to change the conversation to who he was going to be voting for and asked him, “so who are you going to be voting for?”

That’s were this guy, of all people began to educate me on how the lack of information can affect how people vote.

Interestingly, his default, uncertain, kinda shooting in the dark response was, “well, probably Clinton.”

The way he said it basically told me he merely was going to vote for Clinton just because he recognized the name.

Now days later, I found myself reflecting on my conversation with this guy, who told me his name was, “William.”

This morning I watched the online episode of Meet the Press (MTP) (for last Sunday) which had a great breakdown of the elections up to yesterday, and good info on what to expect in the upcoming weeks.

During MTP political analysis session, they began spit-balling the whats and the whys as to how the candidates got to where they are, their strengths, and their weaknesses.

There was a moment in the discussion about Clinton voters winning a lot of the black votes. At the same time, the said that Bernie was winning the younger voters, and had the highest marks for integrity and honesty.

So given my conversation with William, a black man, uneducated, street wise kinda guy, I discovered basically he was going to be voting for . . . Clinton simply because he knew her name.

That told me something about why Clinton may be getting the black votes now.

Purely because of the name recognition she was able to capitalize off of because of her husband, Bill Clinton, to include her time in office as well.

It was interesting to see how powerful name recognition could be when somebody has to make a decision about who to vote for. I suppose it’s like buying a product online, if your not really sure of it, perhaps you’ll go for the “named brand” item verses the generic.

In this regard, name recognition appears to be a very powerful force. William didn’t really having anything against Bernie, he just didn’t know the name.

Getting back to MTP’s further revelation that Bernie Sanders was winning a majority of the younger voters, also told me something as well. it told me that these younger voters also don’t know the Clinton name. In that sense, they they went out there and explored what options were out there, got informed and have taken each candidate at face value – which, because Bernie is who is is, they, the young, unpolluted electorate, choose Bernie.

Not knowing Bernie name sounds incredible to people like us, who have watch probably all his rallies, and have been waist deep in following the political campaigning since last year. I’m guilty of that, more so this election than any other. Mainly because of Bernie’s message – on everything.

Unfortunately, all our knowledge and conviction as to who the next president should me, is simply not enough.

Clearly William wasn’t stupid. He wasn’t a completely homeless guy either, he was engaged in his own way and will probably make it to the ballot box. Perhaps a little more motivated now because I spoke to him about who he was going to be voting for.

Upon reflection, I recall that I too was like William in terns of my degree of education and involvement in the elections of the past.

I think many of us before we got into being as engaged as we are in this election cycle were not as engaged in previous ones.

And maybe we also took a superficial look at the ballots, and just arbitrarily chose a decision one way or the other. Even going by what we knew about the candidate by their name, and not knowing really what they stood for really at the time. Even just which party they were running under.

After William said with wavering conviction, and an unthoughtful like response, that he was voting for Clinton, I thought to myself he doesn’t sound like he is certain on his choice. That William was merely going with what he knows about the candidate, And what he really was saying is that he chose Clinton because he merely knew the name – from the past.

Well, at this point I saw the conversation getting interesting to me so I asked him why was he supporting Clinton?

Well, William didn’t have much of a response if I recall. So I quickly started talking about Bernie Sanders. And to my surprise, he didn’t even know who he was. He didn’t and never heard of the name Bernie Sanders?

Now I know this is a long entry, and I’ll probably rewrite this into an article on my site, In any case, what was most interesting here was this guy, William, said he didn’t even know the name Bernie Sanders?

This says a lot. It says that for no other reason, William was voting for Clinton because he really didn’t have any alternative information to go off of.

This revelation, and after I look at all the rallies I watch online, I said how could this be. Millions of people have seen and at least know the name Bernie Sanders. Right? Well, that isn’t the case. There are people still out their who, like the way we were before we got into following politics closely, simply going off bits and pieces of information to make their choice.

If for no other reason than just not knowing the name Clinton, many voters will vote like William just because of name recognition. If for no other reason because, like William, they were simply uninformed, and without information.

Well, there I was standing in the middle of a small park along a busy street on a Friday night. I started letting William know who Bernie Sanders was.

I haven’t really had to verbalize, persuade, or at least educate somebody in person like that before. So I was not impressed with my limited ability at the time to be able to “sell” Bernie in a live, door to door, sale person like manner, as you will need to be able to do on the street. So practice!

In any case, While I fumbled to try to sell Bernie to William, I tried to recall all the bullet issues that Bernie mentions in all of his speeches.

Really, he has written our sales manual in his speeches. All you have to do is remember the one’s that are most meaningful to you, and use your own personal passion from there to leave with the person your campaigning.

It wasn’t easy, and I saw myself at times feeling like I was only saying things like, “trust me, just vote for Bernie Sanders.”

Though William didn’t have anywhere to go. He definitely had an attention span that was limited. He had other people to hustle for money.

While speaking with William there in the park, another person walked up beside us and undoubtedly was listening and interested in the conversation about Bernie. But played off his interest being there with the mural on the wall. People are funny.

William, didn’t hesitate to take advantage of the new guy in the area, so he asked him for money, “to get a hot meal.” When that didn’t work, he asked the guy for a cigarette. Which he got. William eventually walked off and we parted ways.

For no other reason people are just busy and operate on their own time frames. It’s not that they are not interested in talking politics, there is just a limited window of opportunity to talk to them about it on the street, if at all.

So you’ll have to wrap up a good summary of Bernie campaign points in just a few minutes. if you have time to expand, then you can give the full power-point presentation highlighting the points Bernie raises during his speeches as a guide.

So the moral of this story? Perhaps, people in some areas will be voting merely due to name recognition unless we purposefully put Bernie Sanders name out there. The kids are leaning toward Bernie because they have not been polluted by the Clinton distraction which allowed them to take a fresh look at, and to choose Bernie.

It is difficult to spread the word about Bernie if your in an area which has not been exposed to anything they don’t already know. On my scale, it was frustrating, but on a national scale, can you imagine how Bernie must feel when facing all fifty states?

In this respect, one has to start early. Like anything else your trying to sell or persuade a situation to happen. People have to be made aware of the option, consider the option, and discuss if further. Sounds brutal, doesn’t it?

Don’t underestimate your abilty to connect with mere passer byers on the streets. I’m writing this entire article about my interaction with William. And he is probably on another street corner trying to hustle money or cigarettes from somebody.

You never know how your input could effect somebody. And if somebody is merely voting because they know the Clinton name, a simple suggestion, from a passionate believer, could be all they need to see the light and change their choice to Bernie.

Use your passion, The passion will say a thousand words we can’t say in the limited couple of minutes we have to talk Bernie to people.

As long as the enthusiasm is genuine, you can cut out all of the statistical mumbo jumbo of selling points to convince somebody to vote for Bernie.

At least get a cool Bernie T-Shirt and wear it in public. Then when somebody walks up and ask you, “why are your voting for Bernie Sanders,” you can unleash the BERN!

Salon Confident on Bernie Sanders’ Fate

20160222_2230 Bernie Sanders will be the next president of the United States (Inquisitr).jpg (Feb. 21, 2016 22:30 ET) Bernie Sanders will be the next president of the United States, according to Salon. The Vermont Senator will require the help of young people and working class people to achieve his ambitious plans, and he is likely to get it.

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Bernie Sanders Arrest Photo Proves He Walks the Walk

20160219_1924 Arrest photo of young activist Bernie Sanders (ChicagoTribune).jpg Bernie Sanders Arrest Photo Proves He Walks the Walk
by Daryl Parsons

(Feb. 19, 2016 22:00) Some people may think having a photograph of you being arrested may lead to undesirable publicity, shame, and ridicule. However, in the case where the photograph shows Bernie Sanders getting arrested for demonstrating during the civil rights movement, well, that is another story.

“The black-and-white photo shows a 21-year-old Sanders, then a University of Chicago student, being taken by Chicago police toward a police wagon. An acetate negative of the photo was found in the Tribune’s archives, said Marianne Mather, a Chicago Tribune photo editor.”

Talking about having a proven record.

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Jane Sanders is central in her husband’s surging campaign

20160218_1249 Jane Sanders is central in her husband's surging campaign (SFGate).jpg

The article below really talks about what I think we see every time Jane escorts her husband to the podium. She, unlike the other candidates, is virtually always there providing her in-the-trenches support as she quietly hands him off to the microphone to address thousands of supporters at his rallies.

This says a lot about their enduring relationship, now a marriage for 27-years.

I think we are going to see more of this support from Jane in the upcoming months leading to the primary, and then to the general election.

Jane Sanders is central in her husband’s surging campaign
By Catherine Lucey and Ken Thomas, AP

ROMULUS, Mich. (AP) (Feb. 18, 2016 12:49) — When Jane Sanders saw an early cut of the “America” ad for her husband’s presidential campaign, she felt something wasn’t quite right. The problem? Her husband was talking in it.

The uplifting spot for Bernie Sanders features sunny images of his packed rallies while Simon and Garfunkel’s song “America” plays. Jane Sanders found herself being carried away by the mood and the music, not by the clip of him speaking.

“So I just asked to cut Bernie out,” she said. “He’s talking all the time in other places.”

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Elizabeth Warren’s Social Contract: ‘There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own’

20110922_1200 Elizabeth Warren on The Myth of Class Warfare (addMoreJuice)(YT).jpg (Feb. 18, 2016 21:45 ET) Since Bernie Sanders’ rise in the polls after putting up tough competition in Iowa and in New Hampshire against the purported “inevitable” contender Hillary Clinton, there has been a lot of talk about who Sanders’ running mate may be.

Many have contemplated Sen. Elizabeth Warren as an ideal candidate who has sported parallel stances on issues the Sanders campaign has been touting during his campaign.

Only speculation can be derived as to why Warren has not outwardly “endorsed” Sanders.

Perhaps she is allowing her supporters to make up their own minds and determinations by looking at her stances on the issues, and not who she may be endorsing for the presidency.

The impassioned Warren, while campaigning in August 2011, made some impacting remarks captured on video and then subsequently posted on YouTube the following month in September.

One of Warren’s most resonating quotes from that Andover, Mass., meeting, “There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own. Nobody,” has left a favorable impression with her supporters.

You can watch the 2-minute video and read a transcript of that meeting below.

Video:


Transcript:

From 00:55:
There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own.
Nobody.
You built a factory out there – good for you.
But I want to be clear.
You moved your goods to market on the roads the rest of us paid for.
You hired workers the rest of us paid to educate.
You were safe in your factory because of police forces and fire forces that the rest of us paid for.
You didn’t have to worry that marauding bands would come and seize everything at your factory,
and hire someone to protect against this because of the work the rest of us did.
Now look. You built a factory and it turned into something terrific or a great idea.
God Bless!
Keep a hunk of it.
But part of the underlying social contract is you take a hunk of that and pay forward for the next kid who comes along.

Elizabeth Warren, August 2011

Related Articles:

20110922_0955 Elizabeth Warren There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own (cbsnews).jpg Elizabeth Warren: “There is nobody in this country who got rich on his own” by Lucy Madison, CBS News

Susan Sarandon: ‘I don’t vote with my vagina’

20160218_1800 Bernie 2016 Susan Sarandon Not a Vagina Voter v1.jpg (Feb. 18, 2016 19:00 ET) In case you missed it, actress Susan Sarandon has endorsed and is voting for Sen. Bernie Sanders to be the next president of the United States. Sarandon has been a stanch supporter of Sanders, and has spoken at many of his rallies.

In January Sarandon spoke at a Sanders rally in Brooklyn, N.Y. She said she has fallen in disfavor of some women.

Speaking to a large crowd Sarandon explained, “I don’t vote with my vagina,” she said. “It is so insulting to women to think that you would follow a candidate just because she’s a woman.”

“He (Sanders) is just right on. Every single thing he has said was prescient, strong and brave.”

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